Archive for the ‘Industry’ Category

Red vs. Arri: Cars or Workstations

The most controversial thing about Red has always been pricing, and the implications that pricing has for industry politics. So let’s talk about pricing, its long term implications, and Red’s power as a disruptive industry force. In particular, I’d like to focus on what impact Red’s entry into the market might be expected to have on existing digital cinema camera vendors. And I’m mostly going to pick on Arri, which is actually a bit of a complement, because second to what Red is doing (and, at the lower end, what’s happening with the video-enabled dSLRs), Arri’s upcoming A-EV cameras are the most interesting products in the industry right now, as far as I can see.

For the sake of context, these new Arri cameras begin at around $70K.

The Car Analogy

Over in this thread on Red user (which is of general interest to anyone concerned with this topic), another poster (I don’t want to use names without permission) suggested that perhaps we shouldn’t expect Red to have too much influence on Arri’s market. Arri has positioned itself as a high-end brand, and sells to customers with the money to afford its products. Red has much more aggressive pricing, and sells largely to the low-budget market, moving a lot more units. The poster compares the companies to Mercedes and Hyundai, respectively, and makes the case that once you’ve established your brand downmarket, it’s hard to move up; how many people would buy a luxury-model Hyundai, if Hyundai decided to make such a thing?

This initially seems plausible, but… is the car analogy really the right model? Cars are a basically mature technology, with differentiation mostly based on aesthetics, brand marketing, and non-functional frills like fancy interiors. Digital cinema cameras, in contrast, are in extremely active development. There are real technical differences between them and there are real improvements from year to year. In fact, the whole shape of the market is still in flux, as demonstrated by the fact that over the last couple of years, Red appears to have sold some thousands of units to people who were previously not in the digital cinema camera market at all, but in the ENG or prosumer camera markets.

Image not to Scale

Maybe instead of Hyundai vs. Mercedes, we’re looking at Mac and Windows NT desktops vs. SGI workstations in the late ’90s. Yeah, remember Silicon Graphics? They made expensive specialized hardware for a small customer base. They were good at it. I’m sure they told themselves the same things the high-end vendors are telling themselves now. “Our customers have a lot of money, and they want the best, and there will always be a market for that.”

They got completely trashed by the rise of commodity hardware. Completely. Trashed.

Why? Because it turns out there are massive economies of scale with most technology products, both for R&D and actual physical production. If the other guy is selling 50x as many units as you are (or in SGI’s case hundreds or thousands of times as many units), it might well be the case that you can’t make a better product even if you charge 10x as much for every unit.

Is this going to happen with digital cinematography cameras? Well… we won’t really know until someone shoots them side by side, but by the numbers Red’s new $7K camera body looks like it might actually produce a better image than Arri’s new ~$70K camera body. So that’s something to consider.

Coasting… off a cliff?

There are a lot of snobs in this industry, and enough subjectivity that they’ll be able to go on justifying the use more expensive gear even if it doesn’t really work any better. That will let some vendors basically ignore Red for a while. Maybe years.

But I think eventually, if for no other reason than that workforce turnover will fill the industry with people who came up using the cheap/powerful stuff, it will be “change or die” time. Companies like Arri need to decide whether they want to get out ahead of the market on this, or try to hold onto the existing high price/low volume model for as long as possible. The latter approach (which is, unfortunately, the direction companies most often decide to take in situations like this) will mean that when these vendors do eventually try to make the transition, Red will already be firmly entrenched in the market they’re trying to move into.

Bayer Market

(This post is based on a recent post of mine from RedUser.)

There’s a lot of counterproductive elitism in the film world, and one of the silliest examples of it is that right around the time the Red One started shipping (this is pure coincidence, I’m sure), some people suddenly decided that Bayer pattern sensors (see Wikipedia article if you’re not familiar) like the ones used in Red cameras are somehow unacceptable for motion imaging.

This, of course, has essentially no basis in reality.

Bayer is virtually the only technology used in the stills world these days, from the cheapest consumer cameras to the most expensive large format digital backs. Bayer sensors are used by probably tens of thousands of pro photographers every day to shoot images that sometimes get blown up to billboard size, and as stills, tend to be examined with far more scrutiny than individual frames in a moving sequence ever will be. And yet somehow, Bayer has been presented by some people in the motion imaging world as some sort of weakness for the Red One, as if Red is somehow cheating.

The truth is, Bayer is so widely used because for a given photosite count, with proper processing, it delivers a better image than anything else. Three chip designs or striped sensor patterns deliver at best 20-25% more visible resolution using 300% more photosites; in many cases it would make much more sense to just build a higher resolution Bayer sensor.

The real reason why Bayer isn’t already widely deployed for high-end motion imaging is not that it’s somehow unacceptable for that purpose, but that high-quality Bayer processing is very computationally intensive. The Red One gets around this by recording a raw image, so this computation doesn’t have to happen in real time — but as the RED Rocket and the 1080p RGB recording modes on the new cameras demonstrate, it is now possible to build ASICs which can do such processing in real time, which allows Bayer sensors to be used even in workflows that require high-quality live output.

I expect that as a result of this, we’ll see large Bayer sensors increasingly become the dominant technology in high-end motion imaging, just as they have in the stills world. Arri’s new cameras all use them. (Though whether this will clue in the industry snobs is anyone’s guess. A friend of mine was having a chat with someone at an LA rental house a few days ago who explained they’d be buying into Arri’s new system rather than Red’s because “The Red uses a Bayer sensor, and is really only a 2K camera”, apparently completely unaware that the Arri cameras are also Bayer, and Red’s S35 cameras are 5K to Arri’s 3.5K.)

Update: David Newman of CineForm points out that processing Bayer images isn’t necessarily that computationally intensive, and that most of the computational overhead of working with Red footage is associated with the compression, not the debayer process. I wonder what implications this will have for the RGB recording modes on the new cameras. If most of the complexity is in the compression rather than the debayer, playing back Redcode RGB footage might actually be more taxing than playing back raw footage currently is, which I think is contrary to what most people expect.

Will RedRay usher in the age of consumer 4K?

My guess is, probably not.

The computer industry will certainly push for higher resolution displays, mostly because ~200 dpi allows for vastly better text rendering. I tend to think that the technology will be in place for reasonably priced consumer 4K within the next four years or so, but that there really won’t just be much consumer demand. You have to sit almost comically close to a 50″ TV before you start wishing you had more detail than 1080p provides. Consumer 4K stands a good chance of ending up like SACD and DVD Audio; most people thought CDs were more than good enough, so these formats went nowhere. In fact, the formats that eventually did largely replace the CD — MP3 and AAC — were [I]lower[/I] quality, but more convenient.

Maybe if TVs keep getting bigger… but I think they may already be large enough that most people don’t really want something bigger in their living rooms, so there might have to be some big change in technology for that to happen. (“Screen paint” that turns walls into screens or something. Give it 20 years.)

Now, maybe I’m wrong about all this, and consumer 4K will be the big summer hit of 2014. But I suspect if Red wants to make a play for the mainstream consumer distribution market, what they should do is develop a version of the RedRay codec optimized for 1080p Internet streaming. If what happened with music is any guide, Blu-ray won’t be replaced by a higher quality physical media format, but by a substantially more convenient (and possibly somewhat lower quality) downloadable and streamable format.

I see RedRay’s primary use being on Red productions, in Red post facilities, on the festival circuit, in art house theaters and other indie venues, and possibly for wider theatrical use if it supports some sort of copy protection.

Epic mythology

I haven’t previously posted anything about the Epic, Red’s new $40,000 5K camera. Why? Mostly because I’ve been trying to gauge reaction, and figure out just where it fits into the market. As usual, this post assumes you’ve already read the information on the Epic’s tech specs; I’m going to focus on what it all means.

Reaction to the Epic over on RedUser.net has not been entirely positive, particularly from the low-budget indie crowd. In one sense, any negative reaction is totally irrational. Sure, the Epic costs twice as much as the Red One. But both the Epic and the Red One offer far more that what competing cameras offer in the same price range, or even at four times the price level. And, of course, Red is offering that full-value trade-in for Red One camera bodies, which is generous practically to the point of absurdity.

In another sense, though, the less than totally positive reactions were completely predictable. To understand why, don’t think about camera specs and price points. Think about mythology.

Unlike with Scarlet, I think it’s actually a bit of a stretch to say the Red One and the Epic target different markets. The Red One was marketed as an alternative to 35mm film for everything up to and including major motion pictures by major Hollywood directors. That firmly overlaps with Epic’s intended market. I think an important part of the “Red revolution” in many people’s minds was that they’d be able to buy and use the same tools as the pros at the top of the industry. Epic makes that less true; once Epic hits the market, many of the guys for whom money is no object are probably not going to be using the same camera as the indie filmmakers who put their faith in Red.

Now, given just how capable the Red One is, being bothered by this is basically irrational from any sort of practical standpoint. This doesn’t really cause any material harm to indies who can’t afford Epic, who have, obviously, still benefited hugely from what Red is doing. But it disrupts what we could call the “mythology” of Red, and that can be upsetting to people. This is, I suspect, the single largest reason why reaction the Epic has been somewhat mixed.

This sort of thing is always an issue for companies that become the focus of a mythology; reading RedUser.net over the last few days reminds me of nothing so much as reading Mac forums in the days after a MacWorld Expo; in virtually every case, regardless of what Apple announces at a MacWorld, some of Apple’s most loyal followers react negatively, usually because they’re holding the company to a ludicrously high standard and/or failing to take business realities into account.

Red (and Apple) shouldn’t worry about this stuff. People react so strongly because they care about the company and the product. In other words, this kind of reaction is generally an indication that you’re doing something right. As long as you keep building products that get people excited — even if that excitement sometimes takes the form of ardent criticism — you’re ahead of game in every respect that matters.

The future of indie cinema

Now that we’ve received our camera and Indie4K will soon be kicking into high gear, I felt it was time to step up and start posting here. I’m one of the other three in the three-man startup Chris mentions in the “About the Author” box. While Chris’s posts are mostly tech-oriented, I’ll be posting more cinema-related stuff, with an emphasis on independent filmmaking and how we as indie filmmakers can use developing technologies to tell our stories.

It’s an incredibly exciting time for the independent film community. Red has made high quality acquisition accessible to a segment of the market that could only have dreamed of it until recently. The camera and its raw workflow are going to give indie filmmakers unprecedented creative freedoms.

Part of what we’re hoping to do with this blog is form a support structure for independent filmmakers in the Red age. In the hopes of building that community, we’re looking to the example of the great independent filmmakers of the 70s who built up support structures for themselves and those around them, guided by a rebellious spirit and a deep love of cinema.

I am speaking of Francis Ford Coppola and his company American Zoetrope, of Jonas Mekas and the Filmmakers Co-op and of the godfather of American independent filmmaking, John Cassavetes. These guys wore many hats and were some of history’s greatest advocates for independent filmmkaing.

Coppola directed, produced, wrote and worked on developing and securing funding for his friends’ projects. After directing a musical for Warner Brothers called Finian’s Rainbow, a typical big-budget Hollywood shoot, he packed some film gear into a few station wagons and, with some film students and a few actors, he shot The Rain People. He liked the latter method more and set out to start his own production company with the talented people he met. These people included George Lucas, John Milius, Caleb Deschanel and Walter Murch. Coppola would go on to secure funding for a number of Zoetrope-produced films including THX 1184, American Graffiti, The Conversation and Apocalypse Now. In the process he developed new editing techniques, and many other innovations. (Thanks for 5.1 surround sound, Zoetrope/Murch.)

Jonas Mekas organized the avant garde filmmakers of New York City to create venues for exhibition and models for distributing films without obvious commercial potential. He was an advocate for the movement with his writing, creating the magazine Film Culture and writing the first film reviews in the Village Voice. He created the Anthology Archives and invented the diary film. At the age of 86, Mekas is still creating films. He fully embraces digital filmmaking and makes and gives away a film a day (in iPod format) as part of his 365 Films series. See his web site. Did I mention he’s 86?

John Cassavetes was a successful actor by the mid fifties. But he was frustrated by the roles he was getting and by the large size of the productions. He felt that Hollywood bureaucracy stifled individual expression. Encouraged by the light-weight 16mm equipment that was being developed, he began to make his own films, giving his actor friends roles that could never exist in mainstream cinema. He acted in, directed, wrote, produced and financed his own films. His first film, “Shadows” was scripted during an improv in his acting workshop. He solicited donations during a late night radio show and was able was able to raise $2,500 in one week (about $18,000 in current dollars). In the decades to come he would mortgage his house and take acting gigs that made his blood boil to make and even self-distribute the films he wanted to make.

Let’s move forward following their example, by helping each other along the way and by continuing to find creative ways to get our films out into the world.

“To me the great hope is that now these little 8mm video recorders and stuff have come out, some… just people who normally wouldn’t make movies are going to be making them, and – you know – suddenly, one day, some little fat girl in Ohio is going to be the new Mozart — you know — and? make a beautiful film with her little father’s camera…corder — and for once the so-called professionalism about movies will be destroyed. Forever. And it will really become an art form.”

– Francis Ford Coppola